The Read · 26 angles tracked 4 → OVER on the total
The board's strongest convergence on this game · 4 independent angles point OVER · 2 the other way, shown not hidden.
The sides also lean BOS (2).
4 → OVER · Totals · 2 vs2 → BOS · Sides · 2 vs16 Props angles · line-shop
Totals 4 → OVER
Wind out 5mph, overs 54% in similar spots 54% · n=1169
T-Mobile Park went over 51% historically (n=248) 51% · n=248
SEA have gone over in 7 of their last 10
SEA have gone OVER in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10
Sides 2 → BOS
SEA have lost 7 of their last 10 (straight up)
BOS have covered the run line in 4 of their last 10 40% · n=10
Props 16 · line-shop only
Logan Gilbert has gone UNDER 6.5 Ks in 7 of his last 10 starts 70% · n=10
Payton Tolle has gone UNDER 5.5 Ks in 7 of his last 8 starts 88% · n=8
Cal Raleigh has a hit in 7 of his last 10 70% · n=10
Caleb Durbin has a hit in 6 of his last 10 60% · n=10
Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.
↗ Share this read Game context · weather, park, and the plate
Weather
Weather not posted
Park · T-Mobile Park
45.3% over
7.7 avg runs vs 7.43 closing · n=289 games (2023+). Historical, vs the closing number.
Home plate umpire
Adrian Johnson
Lineups
Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable. Lineups not posted yet. MLB usually posts these a few hours before first pitch.
Test this matchup in Build-a-Trend → Members
Unlock the pitching read
Membership opens both starters' Statcast arsenals, whiff and pitch-mix profiles, the pitcher-strikeout history board, and the strikeout-prop edge engine: a transparent model that projects each starter's K distribution from recent K% and the opposing lineup, then compares it to the line. Every input shown with its sample. A second opinion, never a lock.
Members
Unlock the market read
Membership opens the full line-movement history with steam flags and the best number across every book we track, so you pay less vig on the same bet. Line shopping is market-neutral, never a prediction.
Members
Unlock the props read
Membership opens the batter-prop board: each prop's history against the posted line with sample sizes, the prop trends, and raw line shopping across books. Descriptive context against the market's own price, never a pick.
