The Read · 25 angles tracked 5 → UNDER on the total
The board's strongest convergence on this game · 5 independent angles point UNDER · 3 the other way, shown not hidden.
The sides also lean SF (2).
5 → UNDER · Totals · 3 vs2 → SF · Sides · 1 vs14 Props angles · line-shop
Totals 5 → UNDER
SF games go UNDER 58% at home (n=283) 58% · n=283
Oracle Park went under 54% historically (n=283) 54% · n=283
SF games go UNDER 58% in July (n=79) 58% · n=79
COL games go UNDER 58% in July (n=77) 58% · n=77
Sides 2 → SF
COL are 17-33 on the road this season 34% · n=50
COL are 3-7 on the road over their last 10 road games 30% · n=10
Props 14 · line-shop only
Mickey Moniak has gone for 2+ total bases in 6 of his last 10 60% · n=10
Home starter faces high-K lineup, opponent ranks top-15% of lineups for K/PA vs starters n=10815
Away starter faces high-K lineup, opponent ranks top-third of lineups for K/PA vs starters n=10717
Michael Lorenzen has gone OVER 3.5 Ks in 7 of his last 10 starts 70% · n=10
Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.
↗ Share this read Game context · weather, park, and the plate
Weather
73° Partially cloudy
Wind 8 mph NW (319°)
Dew point 58° · 59% humidity
Park · Oracle Park
No park sample yet for this venue (50-game floor).
Home plate umpire
Willie Traynor
Lineups
Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable. Away Confirmed as of Jul 12, 10:00 PM
- 1 Jake McCarthy LHB RF
- 2 Mickey Moniak LHB DH
- 3 Hunter Goodman RHB C
- 4 TJ Rumfield LHB 1B
- 5 Kyle Karros RHB 3B
- 6 Cole Carrigg SWH CF
- 7 Troy Johnston LHB LF
- 8 Tyler Freeman RHB 2B
- 9 Ezequiel Tovar RHB SS
Home Confirmed as of Jul 12, 10:00 PM
- 1 Heliot Ramos RHB LF
- 2 Luis Arraez LHB 2B
- 3 Casey Schmitt RHB 3B
- 4 Rafael Devers LHB 1B
- 5 Jung Hoo Lee LHB RF
- 6 Grant McCray LHB DH
- 7 Willy Adames RHB SS
- 8 Drew Gilbert LHB CF
- 9 Drew Cavanaugh LHB C
Test this matchup in Build-a-Trend → Members
Unlock the pitching read
Membership opens both starters' Statcast arsenals, whiff and pitch-mix profiles, the pitcher-strikeout history board, and the strikeout-prop edge engine: a transparent model that projects each starter's K distribution from recent K% and the opposing lineup, then compares it to the line. Every input shown with its sample. A second opinion, never a lock.
Members
Unlock the market read
Membership opens the full line-movement history with steam flags and the best number across every book we track, so you pay less vig on the same bet. Line shopping is market-neutral, never a prediction.
Members
Unlock the props read
Membership opens the batter-prop board: each prop's history against the posted line with sample sizes, the prop trends, and raw line shopping across books. Descriptive context against the market's own price, never a pick.
