Game 824090 · Edge Labs

← Slate · Game detail

SD @ KC

The Read · 13 angles tracked

5 → UNDER on the total

The board's strongest convergence on this game · 5 independent angles point UNDER · 2 the other way, shown not hidden. The sides also lean SD (2).

5 → UNDER · Totals · 2 vs2 → SD · Sides · 2 vs2 Props angles · line-shop

Totals 5 → UNDER

SD games go UNDER 57% in night games (n=410) 57% · n=410

Kauffman Stadium went under 52% historically (n=290) 52% · n=290

SD have gone under in 7 of their last 10

KC have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10

Sides 2 → SD

KC have lost 7 of their last 10 (straight up)

SD have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10

Props 2 · line-shop only

Seth Lugo strikes out 21% of RHB (n=958 PA) 21% · n=958

Michael King strikes out 25% of LHB (n=753 PA) 25% · n=753

Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.

Game context · weather, park, and the plate

Weather

87° Clear

Wind 9 mph SSW (210°)

Dew point 71° · 59% humidity

Park · Kauffman Stadium

46.4% over

8.98 avg runs vs 8.78 closing · n=291 games (2023+). Historical, vs the closing number.

Home plate umpire

Nestor Ceja

See this umpire's totals tendencies →

SD · away · recent form

SD have gone under in 7 of their last 10

KC have lost 7 of their last 10 (straight up)

SD have gone UNDER in 7 of their last 10 n=10

SD have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 n=10

SD are 2-8 on the road over their last 10 road games n=10

KC · home · recent form

KC have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 10 n=10

KC have covered the run line in 3 of their last 10 n=10

Matchup & handedness notes 3

Kauffman Stadium went under 52% historically (n=290) n=290

Seth Lugo strikes out 21% of RHB (n=958 PA) n=958

Michael King strikes out 25% of LHB (n=753 PA) n=753

Lineups

Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable.

Away Confirmed as of Jul 17, 10:00 PM

1 Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB RF
2 Jackson Merrill LHB CF
3 Xander Bogaerts RHB SS
4 Manny Machado RHB 3B
5 Gavin Sheets LHB LF
6 Ty France RHB 1B
7 Jake Cronenworth LHB 2B
8 Miguel Andujar RHB DH
9 Luis Campusano RHB C

Home Confirmed as of Jul 17, 10:00 PM

1 Carter Jensen LHB C
2 Bobby Witt Jr. RHB SS
3 Jac Caglianone LHB RF
4 Lane Thomas RHB CF
5 Vinnie Pasquantino LHB 1B
6 Salvador Perez RHB DH
7 Michael Massey LHB 2B
8 Nick Loftin RHB 3B
9 Isaac Collins SWH LF

Test this matchup in Build-a-Trend →

Members

Unlock the pitching read

Membership opens both starters' Statcast arsenals, whiff and pitch-mix profiles, the pitcher-strikeout history board, and the strikeout-prop edge engine: a transparent model that projects each starter's K distribution from recent K% and the opposing lineup, then compares it to the line. Every input shown with its sample. A second opinion, never a lock.

Get full access Already a member? Sign in

Members

Unlock the market read

Membership opens the full line-movement history with steam flags and the best number across every book we track, so you pay less vig on the same bet. Line shopping is market-neutral, never a prediction.

Get full access Already a member? Sign in

Members

Unlock the props read

Membership opens the batter-prop board: each prop's history against the posted line with sample sizes, the prop trends, and raw line shopping across books. Descriptive context against the market's own price, never a pick.

Get full access Already a member? Sign in