Game 824736 · Edge Labs

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BAL @ BOS

The Read · 30 angles tracked

5 → UNDER on the total

The board's strongest convergence on this game · 5 independent angles point UNDER. The sides also lean BOS (3).

5 → UNDER · Totals3 → BOS · Sides · 3 vs19 Props angles · line-shop

Totals 5 → UNDER

Fenway Park went under 53% historically (n=288) 53% · n=288

BAL have gone under in 8 of their last 10

BOS have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10

BAL have gone UNDER in 8 of their last 10 80% · n=10

Sides 3 → BOS

BOS have won 10 of their last 10 (straight up)

BOS have covered the run line in 8 of their last 10 80% · n=10

BOS are 8-2 at home over their last 10 home games 80% · n=10

Props 19 · line-shop only

Pete Alonso has gone for 2+ total bases in 7 of his last 10 70% · n=10

Away starter faces high-K lineup, opponent ranks top-third of lineups for K/PA vs starters n=10630

Payton Tolle has gone UNDER 5.5 Ks in 7 of his last 8 starts 88% · n=8

Shane Baz has gone OVER 5.5 Ks in 6 of his last 10 starts 60% · n=10

Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.

Game context · weather, park, and the plate

Weather

78° Partially cloudy

Wind 9 mph SSW (200°)

Dew point 56° · 47% humidity

Park · Fenway Park

44.6% over

9.17 avg runs vs 8.91 closing · n=289 games (2023+). Historical, vs the closing number.

Home plate umpire

Stu Scheurwater

See this umpire's totals tendencies →

BAL · away · recent form

BAL have gone under in 8 of their last 10

BAL have won 7 of their last 10 (straight up)

BAL have gone UNDER in 8 of their last 10 n=10

BAL have gone UNDER in 13 of their last 20 n=20

BAL have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 n=10

BAL are 7-3 on the road over their last 10 road games n=10

BOS · home · recent form

BOS have won 10 of their last 10 (straight up)

BOS have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 10 n=10

BOS have covered the run line in 8 of their last 10 n=10

BOS are 8-2 at home over their last 10 home games n=10

Matchup & handedness notes 3

Fenway Park went under 53% historically (n=288) n=288

Shane Baz strikes out 22% of RHB (n=527 PA) n=527

Jarren Duran is 2-for-15 career vs Shane Baz n=15

Lineups

Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable.

Away Confirmed as of Jul 20, 10:00 PM

1 Taylor Ward RHB LF
2 Pete Alonso RHB 1B
3 Gunnar Henderson LHB SS
4 Tyler O'Neill RHB RF
5 Coby Mayo RHB DH
6 Leody Taveras SWH CF
7 Jeremiah Jackson RHB 2B
8 Christian Encarnacion-Strand RHB 3B
9 Sam Huff RHB C

Home Confirmed as of Jul 20, 10:00 PM

1 Anthony Seigler SWH 2B
2 Ceddanne Rafaela RHB CF
3 Wilyer Abreu LHB RF
4 Willson Contreras RHB 1B
5 Masataka Yoshida LHB DH
6 Caleb Durbin RHB 3B
7 Jarren Duran LHB LF
8 Connor Wong RHB C
9 Tsung-Che Cheng LHB SS

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