The Read · 25 angles tracked 4 → BOS on the side
The board's strongest convergence on this game · 4 independent angles point BOS · 1 the other way, shown not hidden.
The totals also lean UNDER (2).
4 → BOS · Sides · 1 vs2 → UNDER · Totals · 2 vs16 Props angles · line-shop
Sides 4 → BOS
BOS have won 10 of their last 10 (straight up)
BOS have covered the run line in 8 of their last 10 80% · n=10
BOS are 8-2 at home over their last 10 home games 80% · n=10
TB are 4-6 on the road over their last 10 road games 40% · n=10
Totals 2 → UNDER
TB games go UNDER 60% in July (n=89) 60% · n=89
Fenway Park went under 53% historically (n=287) 53% · n=287
Props 16 · line-shop only
Away starter faces high-K lineup, opponent ranks top-third of lineups for K/PA vs starters n=10630
Sonny Gray has gone OVER 4.5 Ks in 10 of his last 10 starts 100% · n=10
Shane McClanahan has gone OVER 4.5 Ks in 7 of his last 10 starts 70% · n=10
Sonny Gray strikes out 26% of LHB (n=1082 PA) 26% · n=1082
Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.
↗ Share this read Game context · weather, park, and the plate
Weather
79° Partially cloudy
Wind 17 mph WNW (293°)
Dew point 49° · 35% humidity
Park · Fenway Park
44.6% over
9.17 avg runs vs 8.91 closing · n=289 games (2023+). Historical, vs the closing number.
Home plate umpire
Alfonso Márquez
Lineups
Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable. Away Confirmed as of Jul 19, 10:00 PM
- 1 Yandy Díaz RHB DH
- 2 Jonathan Aranda LHB 1B
- 3 Junior Caminero RHB 3B
- 4 Cedric Mullins LHB CF
- 5 Chandler Simpson LHB LF
- 6 Victor Mesa Jr. LHB RF
- 7 Richie Palacios LHB 2B
- 8 Taylor Walls SWH SS
- 9 Hunter Feduccia LHB C
Home Confirmed as of Jul 19, 10:00 PM
- 1 Jahmai Jones RHB DH
- 2 Ceddanne Rafaela RHB CF
- 3 Wilyer Abreu LHB RF
- 4 Willson Contreras RHB 1B
- 5 Caleb Durbin RHB 3B
- 6 Romy Gonzalez RHB 2B
- 7 Andruw Monasterio RHB SS
- 8 Jarren Duran LHB LF
- 9 Connor Wong RHB C
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