Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +185 | 67% | 90%9/10 | 70%14/20 | 71%301/425 | 70%88/125 | 71%213/300 | 1.08 |
| Alec Bohm bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 11%45/425 | 14%18/125 | 9%27/300 | 0.11 |
| Alec Bohm bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +140 / -179 | 39% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 42%177/425 | 40%50/125 | 42%127/300 | 1.66 |
| Brandon Marsh bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -233 / +172 | 66% | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 57%232/406 | 49%35/72 | 59%197/334 | 0.83 |
| Brandon Marsh bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +8000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%1/406 | 0%0/72 | 0%1/334 | 0.1 |
| Brandon Marsh bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +135 / -159 | 40% | 20%2/10 | 45%9/20 | 34%138/406 | 28%20/72 | 35%118/334 | 1.35 |
| Bryce Harper bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -232 / +172 | 66% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 68%285/420 | 69%99/143 | 67%186/277 | 1.05 |
| Bryce Harper bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +2700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 2%7/420 | 1%1/143 | 2%6/277 | 0.2 |
| Bryce Harper bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +120 / -143 | 43% | 10%1/10 | 40%8/20 | 44%186/420 | 41%59/143 | 46%127/277 | 1.91 |
| Bryson Stott bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -209 / +156 | 63% | 60%6/10 | 70%14/20 | 65%298/457 | 67%62/93 | 65%236/364 | 0.94 |
| Bryson Stott bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +5500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%1/457 | 1%1/93 | 0%0/364 | 0.09 |
| Bryson Stott bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +130 / -170 | 41% | 20%2/10 | 30%6/20 | 36%163/457 | 32%30/93 | 37%133/364 | 1.4 |
| Heriberto Hernandez bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -130 / -102 | 53% | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 55%47/86 | 52%23/44 | 57%24/42 | 0.79 |
| Heriberto Hernandez bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 12%10/86 | 11%5/44 | 12%5/42 | 0.12 |
| Jakob Marsee bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -121 / -109 | 51% | 50%5/10 | 65%13/20 | 69%37/54 | 65%11/17 | 70%26/37 | 1.13 |
| Jakob Marsee bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%4/54 | 6%1/17 | 8%3/37 | 0.09 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -154 / +116 | 57% | 80%8/10 | 55%11/20 | 50%62/124 | 48%30/62 | 52%32/62 | 0.68 |
| Javier Sanoja bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 4%5/124 | 5%3/62 | 3%2/62 | 0.05 |
| Kyle Schwarber bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -191 / +142 | 61% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 60%290/485 | 65%107/164 | 57%183/321 | 0.86 |
| Kyle Schwarber bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +210 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 26%128/485 | 30%50/164 | 24%78/321 | 0.31 |
| Kyle Schwarber bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +111 / -139 | 45% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 42%202/485 | 42%69/164 | 41%133/321 | 1.94 |
| Kyle Stowers bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -140 / +105 | 54% | 60%6/10 | 70%14/20 | 58%109/189 | 50%15/30 | 59%94/159 | 0.83 |
| Kyle Stowers bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 15%3/20 | 12%22/189 | 0%0/30 | 14%22/159 | 0.15 |
| Liam Hicks bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -192 / +143 | 62% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 51%61/119 | 20%3/15 | 56%58/104 | 0.69 |
| Liam Hicks bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%6/119 | 0%0/15 | 6%6/104 | 0.05 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +184 | 67% | 70%7/10 | 65%13/20 | 68%172/254 | 60%52/87 | 72%120/167 | 0.96 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%20/254 | 3%3/87 | 10%17/167 | 0.08 |
| Otto Lopez bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +145 / -190 | 39% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 34%87/254 | 30%26/87 | 37%61/167 | 1.39 |
| Owen Caissie bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | +111 / -148 | 44% | 30%3/10 | 27%3/11 | 27%3/11 | ·n=0 | 27%3/11 | 0.45 |
| Owen Caissie bats L · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 9%1/11 | 9%1/11 | ·n=0 | 9%1/11 | 0.09 |
| Trea Turner bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -265 / +195 | 68% | 70%7/10 | 75%15/20 | 71%308/431 | 73%95/130 | 71%213/301 | 1.21 |
| Trea Turner bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 13%57/431 | 15%20/130 | 12%37/301 | 0.15 |
| Trea Turner bats R · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +125 / -162 | 42% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 46%200/431 | 51%66/130 | 45%134/301 | 1.94 |
| Xavier Edwards bats S · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -184 / +145 | 61% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 72%170/235 | 68%44/65 | 74%126/170 | 1.15 |
| Xavier Edwards bats S · MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 2%4/235 | 2%1/65 | 2%3/170 | 0.02 |
| Carter Jensen bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -132 / -101 | 53% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 60%12/20 | 33%1/3 | 65%11/17 | 0.9 |
| Carter Jensen bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 10%2/20 | 0%0/3 | 12%2/17 | 0.15 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -257 / +190 | 68% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 65%276/424 | 58%70/120 | 68%206/304 | 0.99 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 10%2/20 | 13%55/424 | 12%14/120 | 13%41/304 | 0.13 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +125 / -152 | 42% | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 44%185/424 | 37%44/120 | 46%141/304 | 1.69 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -235 / +174 | 66% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%85/152 | 48%39/81 | 65%46/71 | 0.71 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +8000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/152 | 0%0/81 | 0%0/71 | 0.03 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +135 / -176 | 40% | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 22%33/152 | 19%15/81 | 25%18/71 | 0.94 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +193 / -262 | 32% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 34%30/89 | 39%7/18 | 32%23/71 | 1.08 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 10%9/89 | 17%3/18 | 8%6/71 | 0.1 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +106 / -130 | 46% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 46%41/89 | 44%8/18 | 46%33/71 | 1.8 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +187 | 67% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 54%59/110 | 49%17/35 | 56%42/75 | 0.79 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 11%12/110 | 9%3/35 | 12%9/75 | 0.12 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +121 / -159 | 42% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 31%34/110 | 26%9/35 | 33%25/75 | 1.32 |
| Isaac Collins bats S · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -144 / +108 | 55% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 53%74/139 | 50%25/50 | 55%49/89 | 0.72 |
| Isaac Collins bats S · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 6%9/139 | 6%3/50 | 7%6/89 | 0.06 |
| Jac Caglianone bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -179 / +134 | 60% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 43%26/61 | 56%9/16 | 38%17/45 | 0.54 |
| Jac Caglianone bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 10%6/61 | 13%2/16 | 9%4/45 | 0.11 |
| Jacob Young bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -178 / +133 | 60% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 59%163/277 | 57%51/90 | 60%112/187 | 0.8 |
| Jacob Young bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 2%5/277 | 2%2/90 | 2%3/187 | 0.02 |
| James Wood bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -234 / +173 | 66% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 64%149/232 | 69%50/72 | 62%99/160 | 1 |
| James Wood bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +3300 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 2%4/232 | 1%1/72 | 2%3/160 | 0.17 |
| James Wood bats L · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +115 / -143 | 44% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 38%89/232 | 35%25/72 | 40%64/160 | 1.77 |
| Keibert Ruiz bats S · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -244 / +180 | 67% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 63%206/327 | 62%51/82 | 63%155/245 | 0.93 |
| Keibert Ruiz bats S · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 9%31/327 | 7%6/82 | 10%25/245 | 0.1 |
| Keibert Ruiz bats S · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +133 / -170 | 40% | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 32%105/327 | 33%27/82 | 32%78/245 | 1.41 |
| Lane Thomas bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -186 / +139 | 61% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 65%211/327 | 70%71/102 | 62%140/225 | 0.94 |
| Lane Thomas bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +625 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 20%4/20 | 15%48/327 | 18%18/102 | 13%30/225 | 0.15 |
| Maikel Garcia bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -240 / +177 | 66% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 66%288/436 | 60%71/118 | 68%217/318 | 1 |
| Maikel Garcia bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 6%26/436 | 6%7/118 | 6%19/318 | 0.06 |
| Maikel Garcia bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +140 / -170 | 39% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 39%169/436 | 37%44/118 | 39%125/318 | 1.45 |
| Nasim Nunez bats S · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -152 / +114 | 56% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 39%24/62 | 38%10/26 | 39%14/36 | 0.55 |
| Nasim Nunez bats S · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 5%3/62 | 4%1/26 | 6%2/36 | 0.06 |
| Nick Loftin bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -154 / +115 | 57% | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 45%62/138 | 43%27/63 | 47%35/75 | 0.6 |
| Nick Loftin bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 4%5/138 | 6%4/63 | 1%1/75 | 0.04 |
| Salvador Perez bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -228 / +169 | 65% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 65%291/451 | 58%62/107 | 67%229/344 | 0.98 |
| Salvador Perez bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +425 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 20%4/20 | 16%73/451 | 11%12/107 | 18%61/344 | 0.18 |
| Salvador Perez bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +125 / -162 | 42% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 41%184/451 | 39%42/107 | 41%142/344 | 1.71 |
| Starling Marte bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -164 / +123 | 58% | 80%8/10 | 60%12/20 | 63%176/281 | 64%75/118 | 62%101/163 | 0.93 |
| Starling Marte bats R · KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +625 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%21/281 | 7%8/118 | 8%13/163 | 0.07 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | O 6.5 | -105 / -122 | 48% | 80%8/10 | 80%16/20 | 62%58/94 | 7.2 |
| Ryan Gusto MIA @ PHI · 6:40 PM ET | O 4.5 | +130 / -162 | 41% | 30%3/10 | 40%8/20 | 37%10/27 | 3.6 |
| Andrew Alvarez KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | O 4.5 | +106 / -135 | 46% | 40%2/5 | 40%2/5 | 40%2/5 | 4 |
| Mitch Spence KC @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | O 3.5 | +130 / -166 | 41% | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 33%22/67 | 2.9 |
The rest of the slate
8 more games of graded props · members onlyHow to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.