Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -232 / +174 | 66% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 58%215/372 | 56%67/119 | 58%148/253 | 0.88 |
| Alejandro Kirk bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +625 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 30%6/20 | 8%29/372 | 5%6/119 | 9%23/253 | 0.09 |
| Alejandro Kirk bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +146 / -185 | 39% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 31%117/372 | 33%39/119 | 31%78/253 | 1.3 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -182 / +139 | 61% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 66%286/434 | 60%80/133 | 68%206/301 | 1.03 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 16%71/434 | 17%22/133 | 16%49/301 | 0.17 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +178 / -238 | 34% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 41%179/434 | 35%47/133 | 44%132/301 | 1.77 |
| Andres Gimenez bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -152 / +117 | 57% | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 59%251/422 | 60%65/108 | 59%186/314 | 0.9 |
| Andres Gimenez bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%33/422 | 5%5/108 | 9%28/314 | 0.08 |
| Andres Gimenez bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -149 / +115 | 56% | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 59%251/422 | 60%65/108 | 59%186/314 | 1.32 |
| Carson Kelly bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -136 / +106 | 54% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 53%131/246 | 52%34/66 | 54%97/180 | 0.78 |
| Carson Kelly bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 11%26/246 | 15%10/66 | 9%16/180 | 0.12 |
| Carson Kelly bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -130 / +100 | 53% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 53%131/246 | 52%34/66 | 54%97/180 | 1.26 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -112 / -114 | 50% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 63%288/457 | 63%72/114 | 63%216/343 | 0.9 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 13%59/457 | 13%15/114 | 13%44/343 | 0.14 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -108 / -120 | 49% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 63%288/457 | 63%72/114 | 63%216/343 | 1.51 |
| Ernie Clement bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -222 / +170 | 65% | 100%10/10 | 90%18/20 | 62%197/316 | 61%75/123 | 63%122/193 | 0.99 |
| Ernie Clement bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%23/316 | 7%8/123 | 8%15/193 | 0.07 |
| Ernie Clement bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +156 / -197 | 37% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 37%118/316 | 35%43/123 | 39%75/193 | 1.46 |
| George Springer bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -185 / +147 | 61% | 80%8/10 | 80%16/20 | 64%287/451 | 54%61/114 | 67%226/337 | 1 |
| George Springer bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 30%6/20 | 15%67/451 | 13%15/114 | 15%52/337 | 0.17 |
| George Springer bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +155 / -190 | 38% | 80%8/10 | 75%15/20 | 41%186/451 | 33%38/114 | 44%148/337 | 1.7 |
| Ian Happ bats S · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -152 / +116 | 56% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 62%289/464 | 63%76/121 | 62%213/343 | 0.91 |
| Ian Happ bats S · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 2%7/464 | 2%2/121 | 1%5/343 | 0.15 |
| Ian Happ bats S · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +167 / -222 | 35% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 38%174/464 | 31%37/121 | 40%137/343 | 1.61 |
| Jesus Sanchez bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -156 / +126 | 58% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 57%227/399 | 50%25/50 | 58%202/349 | 0.81 |
| Jesus Sanchez bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +6000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/399 | 0%0/50 | 0%0/349 | 0.12 |
| Jesus Sanchez bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +164 / -217 | 36% | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 33%130/399 | 26%13/50 | 34%117/349 | 1.37 |
| Matt Shaw bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -145 / +112 | 56% | 20%2/10 | 45%9/20 | 53%68/128 | 56%22/39 | 52%46/89 | 0.7 |
| Matt Shaw bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 10%13/128 | 13%5/39 | 9%8/89 | 0.1 |
| Matt Shaw bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -135 / +105 | 54% | 20%2/10 | 45%9/20 | 53%68/128 | 56%22/39 | 52%46/89 | 1.22 |
| Michael Busch bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -154 / +121 | 57% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 56%186/333 | 49%21/43 | 57%165/290 | 0.84 |
| Michael Busch bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 17%57/333 | 9%4/43 | 18%53/290 | 0.18 |
| Michael Busch bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +178 / -238 | 34% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 36%119/333 | 26%11/43 | 37%108/290 | 1.6 |
| Nathan Lukes bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -154 / +119 | 57% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 54%99/184 | 56%10/18 | 54%89/166 | 0.78 |
| Nathan Lukes bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%13/184 | 0%0/18 | 8%13/166 | 0.07 |
| Nathan Lukes bats L · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -149 / +115 | 56% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 54%99/184 | 56%10/18 | 54%89/166 | 1.2 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -200 / +157 | 63% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 72%333/460 | 77%86/111 | 71%247/349 | 1.14 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 5%23/460 | 5%6/111 | 5%17/349 | 0.05 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 1 | · / · | · | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 42%191/460 | 48%53/111 | 40%138/349 | 1.54 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -157 / +124 | 58% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 68%286/423 | 65%73/112 | 68%213/311 | 1.04 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 16%69/423 | 13%14/112 | 18%55/311 | 0.18 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -164 / +125 | 58% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 68%286/423 | 65%73/112 | 68%213/311 | 1.87 |
| Chase Meidroth bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -193 / +153 | 62% | 40%4/10 | 70%14/20 | 69%81/117 | 66%23/35 | 71%58/82 | 0.97 |
| Chase Meidroth bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 4%5/117 | 6%2/35 | 4%3/82 | 0.04 |
| Chase Meidroth bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -185 / +140 | 61% | 40%4/10 | 70%14/20 | 69%81/117 | 66%23/35 | 71%58/82 | 1.23 |
| Colson Montgomery bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -169 / +130 | 59% | 100%10/10 | 70%14/20 | 66%46/70 | 71%12/17 | 64%34/53 | 0.87 |
| Colson Montgomery bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 15%3/20 | 30%21/70 | 18%3/17 | 34%18/53 | 0.3 |
| Colson Montgomery bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +164 / -217 | 36% | 50%5/10 | 30%6/20 | 41%29/70 | 41%7/17 | 42%22/53 | 1.93 |
| Colt Keith bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -161 / +136 | 59% | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 56%164/291 | 68%19/28 | 55%145/263 | 0.84 |
| Colt Keith bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 9%25/291 | 4%1/28 | 9%24/263 | 0.09 |
| Colt Keith bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -164 / +125 | 58% | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 56%164/291 | 68%19/28 | 55%145/263 | 1.27 |
| Dillon Dingler bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +171 / -227 | 35% | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 23%36/157 | 21%9/43 | 24%27/114 | 0.89 |
| Dillon Dingler bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/157 | 0%0/43 | 0%0/114 | 0.1 |
| Dillon Dingler bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +100 / -125 | 47% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 38%60/157 | 44%19/43 | 36%41/114 | 1.41 |
| Edgar Quero bats S · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -167 / +129 | 59% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%62/110 | 69%29/42 | 49%33/68 | 0.89 |
| Edgar Quero bats S · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%5/110 | 2%1/42 | 6%4/68 | 0.05 |
| Edgar Quero bats S · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -156 / +125 | 58% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%62/110 | 69%29/42 | 49%33/68 | 1.18 |
| James Outman bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -114 / -112 | 50% | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 47%114/245 | 53%29/55 | 45%85/190 | 0.64 |
| James Outman bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 20%4/20 | 12%30/245 | 7%4/55 | 14%26/190 | 0.13 |
| James Outman bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -112 / -115 | 50% | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 47%114/245 | 53%29/55 | 45%85/190 | 1.18 |
| Kerry Carpenter bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -186 / +143 | 61% | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 60%205/341 | 56%18/32 | 61%187/309 | 0.92 |
| Kerry Carpenter bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +425 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 17%59/341 | 16%5/32 | 17%54/309 | 0.2 |
| Kerry Carpenter bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +149 / -196 | 38% | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 39%134/341 | 31%10/32 | 40%124/309 | 1.73 |
| Luisangel Acuna bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -129 / +104 | · | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 48%38/80 | 45%14/31 | 49%24/49 | 0.66 |
| Luisangel Acuna bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 4%3/80 | 10%3/31 | 0%0/49 | 0.04 |
| Luisangel Acuna bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -130 / +100 | 53% | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 48%38/80 | 45%14/31 | 49%24/49 | 0.91 |
| Miguel Vargas bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -196 / +154 | 63% | 90%9/10 | 60%12/20 | 51%147/288 | 45%50/111 | 55%97/177 | 0.69 |
| Miguel Vargas bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 9%27/288 | 6%7/111 | 11%20/177 | 0.1 |
| Miguel Vargas bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +140 / -169 | 40% | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 31%88/288 | 26%29/111 | 33%59/177 | 1.21 |
| Randal Grichuk bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -154 / +122 | 57% | 50%5/10 | 30%6/20 | 56%184/330 | 50%109/216 | 66%75/114 | 0.76 |
| Randal Grichuk bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 11%35/330 | 7%15/216 | 18%20/114 | 0.11 |
| Randal Grichuk bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +171 / -227 | 35% | 20%2/10 | 10%2/20 | 33%108/330 | 26%56/216 | 46%52/114 | 1.34 |
| Riley Greene bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -227 / +170 | 65% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 65%257/397 | 61%55/90 | 66%202/307 | 1.04 |
| Riley Greene bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 2%8/397 | 1%1/90 | 2%7/307 | 0.18 |
| Riley Greene bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +128 / -157 | 42% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 43%169/397 | 33%30/90 | 45%139/307 | 1.84 |
| Spencer Torkelson bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -189 / +151 | 62% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 60%244/408 | 59%58/99 | 60%186/309 | 0.88 |
| Spencer Torkelson bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +3300 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%5/408 | 2%2/99 | 1%3/309 | 0.18 |
| Spencer Torkelson bats R · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +136 / -170 | 41% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 40%162/408 | 45%45/99 | 38%117/309 | 1.64 |
| Tristan Peters bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -115 / -106 | 51% | 0%0/4 | 0%0/4 | 0%0/4 | 0%0/1 | 0%0/3 | 0 |
| Tristan Peters bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 0%0/4 | 0%0/4 | 0%0/4 | 0%0/1 | 0%0/3 | 0 |
| Zach McKinstry bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -189 / +147 | 62% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 55%221/399 | 61%34/56 | 55%187/343 | 0.74 |
| Zach McKinstry bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%26/399 | 5%3/56 | 7%23/343 | 0.07 |
| Zach McKinstry bats L · CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +178 / -238 | 34% | 10%1/10 | 20%4/20 | 28%113/399 | 29%16/56 | 28%97/343 | 1.19 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | O 5.5 | -110 / -119 | 49% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 55%56/101 | 6.1 |
| Ben Brown TOR @ CHC · 2:20 PM ET | O 4.5 | -130 / +101 | 53% | 20%2/10 | 45%9/20 | 53%21/40 | 4.6 |
| Tarik Skubal CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | O 6.5 | -125 / -105 | 52% | 70%7/10 | 65%13/20 | 63%52/83 | 7.6 |
| Erick Fedde CWS @ DET · 6:40 PM ET | O 3.5 | -112 / -115 | 50% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 49%31/63 | 3.8 |
The rest of the slate
12 more games of graded props · members onlyHow to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.