Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +196 | 68% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 66%286/434 | 60%80/133 | 68%206/301 | 1.03 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 16%71/434 | 17%22/133 | 16%49/301 | 0.17 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +134 / -160 | 42% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 41%179/434 | 35%47/133 | 44%132/301 | 1.77 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -164 / +127 | 58% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 63%288/457 | 63%72/114 | 63%216/343 | 0.9 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 13%59/457 | 13%15/114 | 13%44/343 | 0.14 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +171 / -227 | 35% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 38%172/457 | 39%44/114 | 37%128/343 | 1.51 |
| Ian Happ bats S · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -208 / +165 | 64% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 62%289/464 | 63%76/121 | 62%213/343 | 0.91 |
| Ian Happ bats S · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +320 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 14%64/464 | 8%10/121 | 16%54/343 | 0.15 |
| Ian Happ bats S · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +130 / -150 | 43% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 38%174/464 | 31%37/121 | 40%137/343 | 1.61 |
| Ivan Herrera bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +178 / -229 | 34% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 28%52/188 | 23%13/56 | 30%39/132 | 1.01 |
| Ivan Herrera bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 12%22/188 | 11%6/56 | 12%16/132 | 0.13 |
| Ivan Herrera bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +110 / -125 | · | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 39%73/188 | 38%21/56 | 39%52/132 | 1.55 |
| Jordan Walker bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +161 / -207 | 36% | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 17%46/268 | 18%16/89 | 17%30/179 | 0.85 |
| Jordan Walker bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +290 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 10%27/268 | 9%8/89 | 11%19/179 | 0.1 |
| Jordan Walker bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -112 / -110 | 51% | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 32%86/268 | 27%24/89 | 35%62/179 | 1.34 |
| Jose Fermin bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -213 / +166 | 64% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 40%33/83 | 28%10/36 | 49%23/47 | 0.48 |
| Jose Fermin bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 1%1/83 | 0%0/36 | 2%1/47 | 0.01 |
| Jose Fermin bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +158 / -190 | 38% | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 16%13/83 | 8%3/36 | 21%10/47 | 0.63 |
| Lars Nootbaar bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -190 / +150 | 62% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 63%215/343 | 60%51/85 | 64%164/258 | 0.92 |
| Lars Nootbaar bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 11%38/343 | 12%10/85 | 11%28/258 | 0.11 |
| Lars Nootbaar bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +149 / -196 | 38% | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 37%128/343 | 34%29/85 | 38%99/258 | 1.48 |
| Masyn Winn bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +189 | 67% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 66%199/302 | 67%62/93 | 66%137/209 | 1 |
| Masyn Winn bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 8%25/302 | 9%8/93 | 8%17/209 | 0.09 |
| Masyn Winn bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +128 / -165 | 41% | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 36%110/302 | 37%34/93 | 36%76/209 | 1.49 |
| Michael Busch bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -230 / +180 | 66% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 56%186/333 | 49%21/43 | 57%165/290 | 0.84 |
| Michael Busch bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 1%3/333 | 0%0/43 | 1%3/290 | 0.18 |
| Michael Busch bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +120 / -143 | 43% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 36%119/333 | 26%11/43 | 37%108/290 | 1.6 |
| Michael Conforto bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -155 / +127 | 58% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 50%195/387 | 60%41/68 | 48%154/319 | 0.73 |
| Michael Conforto bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 12%47/387 | 16%11/68 | 11%36/319 | 0.12 |
| Michael Conforto bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +178 / -238 | 34% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 30%116/387 | 37%25/68 | 29%91/319 | 1.26 |
| Miguel Amaya bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -153 / +118 | 57% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 52%96/186 | 49%28/57 | 53%68/129 | 0.7 |
| Miguel Amaya bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 9%17/186 | 7%4/57 | 10%13/129 | 0.09 |
| Miguel Amaya bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +171 / -227 | 35% | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 25%46/186 | 25%14/57 | 25%32/129 | 1.13 |
| Nathan Church bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -140 / +123 | 58% | 40%4/10 | 37%7/19 | 37%7/19 | 60%3/5 | 29%4/14 | 0.53 |
| Nathan Church bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/19 | 5%1/19 | 0%0/5 | 7%1/14 | 0.05 |
| Nathan Church bats L · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -143 / +110 | 55% | 40%4/10 | 37%7/19 | 37%7/19 | 60%3/5 | 29%4/14 | 0.74 |
| Nelson Velazquez bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -212 / +166 | 64% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 54%60/112 | 52%22/42 | 54%38/70 | 0.71 |
| Nelson Velazquez bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +330 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 21%23/112 | 12%5/42 | 26%18/70 | 0.22 |
| Nelson Velazquez bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +125 / -159 | 42% | 0%0/10 | 15%3/20 | 35%39/112 | 26%11/42 | 40%28/70 | 1.52 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -266 / +201 | 68% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 72%333/460 | 77%86/111 | 71%247/349 | 1.14 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 5%23/460 | 5%6/111 | 5%17/349 | 0.05 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +136 / -165 | 41% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 42%191/460 | 48%53/111 | 40%138/349 | 1.54 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -236 / +179 | 66% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 68%286/423 | 65%73/112 | 68%213/311 | 1.04 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +3500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 2%7/423 | 0%0/112 | 2%7/311 | 0.18 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +124 / -154 | 42% | 80%8/10 | 60%12/20 | 44%188/423 | 40%45/112 | 46%143/311 | 1.87 |
| Brandon Lowe bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -204 / +156 | 63% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 65%226/347 | 65%40/62 | 65%186/285 | 0.9 |
| Brandon Lowe bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +390 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 15%3/20 | 21%72/347 | 23%14/62 | 20%58/285 | 0.21 |
| Brandon Lowe bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +130 / -164 | 42% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 39%137/347 | 39%24/62 | 40%113/285 | 1.7 |
| Bryan Reynolds bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 1 | · / · | · | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 27%123/451 | 31%37/119 | 26%86/332 | 1.03 |
| Bryan Reynolds bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%5/451 | 2%2/119 | 1%3/332 | 0.14 |
| Bryan Reynolds bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +112 / -135 | 46% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 41%185/451 | 44%52/119 | 40%133/332 | 1.73 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -263 / +196 | 68% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 65%276/424 | 58%70/120 | 68%206/304 | 0.99 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%2/424 | 0%0/120 | 1%2/304 | 0.13 |
| CJ Abrams bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +106 / -125 | 47% | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 44%185/424 | 37%44/120 | 46%141/304 | 1.69 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -227 / +172 | 65% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%85/152 | 48%39/81 | 65%46/71 | 0.71 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 3%5/152 | 1%1/81 | 6%4/71 | 0.03 |
| Curtis Mead bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +132 / -164 | 41% | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 22%33/152 | 19%15/81 | 25%18/71 | 0.94 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +198 / -256 | 32% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 34%30/89 | 39%7/18 | 32%23/71 | 1.08 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +6000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/89 | 0%0/18 | 0%0/71 | 0.1 |
| Daylen Lile bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +104 / -130 | 47% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 46%41/89 | 44%8/18 | 46%33/71 | 1.8 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +188 | 67% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 54%59/110 | 49%17/35 | 56%42/75 | 0.79 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +6000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%1/110 | 0%0/35 | 1%1/75 | 0.12 |
| Dylan Crews bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +130 / -157 | 41% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 31%34/110 | 26%9/35 | 33%25/75 | 1.32 |
| Henry Davis bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -107 / -104 | 50% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 44%78/176 | 49%24/49 | 43%54/127 | 0.6 |
| Henry Davis bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +6000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%1/176 | 0%0/49 | 1%1/127 | 0.09 |
| Henry Davis bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -112 / -115 | 50% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 44%78/176 | 49%24/49 | 43%54/127 | 0.97 |
| Jacob Young bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -180 / +142 | 61% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 59%163/277 | 57%51/90 | 60%112/187 | 0.8 |
| Jacob Young bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 2%5/277 | 2%2/90 | 2%3/187 | 0.02 |
| Jacob Young bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -175 / +135 | 60% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 59%163/277 | 57%51/90 | 60%112/187 | 1.03 |
| Jake Mangum bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -232 / +173 | 66% | 70%7/10 | 65%13/20 | 66%77/116 | 60%26/43 | 70%51/73 | 1.03 |
| Jake Mangum bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 3%3/116 | 2%1/43 | 3%2/73 | 0.03 |
| Jake Mangum bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +158 / -190 | 38% | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 32%37/116 | 26%11/43 | 36%26/73 | 1.28 |
| James Wood bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -238 / +182 | 67% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 64%149/232 | 69%50/72 | 62%99/160 | 1 |
| James Wood bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +245 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 15%3/20 | 16%36/232 | 14%10/72 | 16%26/160 | 0.17 |
| James Wood bats L · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -102 / -120 | 48% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 38%89/232 | 35%25/72 | 40%64/160 | 1.77 |
| Keibert Ruiz bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -208 / +158 | 64% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 63%206/327 | 62%51/82 | 63%155/245 | 0.93 |
| Keibert Ruiz bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +8000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/327 | 0%0/82 | 1%2/245 | 0.1 |
| Keibert Ruiz bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +149 / -190 | 38% | 10%1/10 | 15%3/20 | 32%105/327 | 33%27/82 | 32%78/245 | 1.41 |
| Marcell Ozuna bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -185 / +141 | 61% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 67%300/451 | 69%77/111 | 66%223/340 | 0.99 |
| Marcell Ozuna bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 20%90/451 | 19%21/111 | 20%69/340 | 0.22 |
| Marcell Ozuna bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -175 / +135 | 60% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 67%300/451 | 69%77/111 | 66%223/340 | 1.83 |
| Nasim Nunez bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -150 / +125 | 57% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 39%24/62 | 38%10/26 | 39%14/36 | 0.55 |
| Nasim Nunez bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 5%3/62 | 4%1/26 | 6%2/36 | 0.06 |
| Nasim Nunez bats S · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -164 / +125 | 58% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 39%24/62 | 38%10/26 | 39%14/36 | 0.79 |
| Nick Gonzales bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -233 / +181 | 66% | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 67%149/221 | 60%36/60 | 70%113/161 | 1 |
| Nick Gonzales bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +625 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 6%14/221 | 10%6/60 | 5%8/161 | 0.06 |
| Nick Gonzales bats R · PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +136 / -165 | 41% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 41%90/221 | 43%26/60 | 40%64/161 | 1.45 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante STL @ CHC · 4:05 PM ET | O 3.5 | -147 / +114 | 56% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 25%30/122 | 2 |
| Mitch Keller PIT @ WSH · 6:45 PM ET | O 3.5 | -156 / +121 | 57% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 82%78/95 | 5.5 |
The rest of the slate
11 more games of graded props · members onlyHow to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.