← Research
Locked Locked Locked Locked Locked Locked Locked Locked Locked Locked Locked Locked Locked Locked
Research · MLB props
Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell21+ · descriptive history vs a posted number · never a pick · hit rate vs the line + platoon split, not vs today's pitcher
| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +192 | 67% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 64%252/393 | 62%70/113 | 65%182/280 | 0.96 |
| Adley Rutschman bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 11%45/393 | 13%15/113 | 11%30/280 | 0.12 |
| Adley Rutschman bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +128 / -157 | 43% | 10%1/10 | 35%7/20 | 37%147/393 | 44%50/113 | 35%97/280 | 1.53 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +198 | 68% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 66%286/434 | 60%80/133 | 68%206/301 | 1.03 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +625 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 16%71/434 | 17%22/133 | 16%49/301 | 0.17 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +126 / -150 | 43% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 41%179/434 | 35%47/133 | 44%132/301 | 1.77 |
| Blaze Alexander bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -175 / +134 | 60% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%68/122 | 57%28/49 | 55%40/73 | 0.77 |
| Blaze Alexander bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 8%10/122 | 10%5/49 | 7%5/73 | 0.08 |
| Blaze Alexander bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +174 / -233 | 34% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 31%38/122 | 37%18/49 | 27%20/73 | 1.19 |
| Carson Kelly bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -189 / +144 | 61% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 53%131/246 | 52%34/66 | 54%97/180 | 0.78 |
| Carson Kelly bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 11%26/246 | 15%10/66 | 9%16/180 | 0.12 |
| Carson Kelly bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +171 / -227 | 35% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 27%67/246 | 32%21/66 | 26%46/180 | 1.26 |
| Coby Mayo bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -171 / +136 | 60% | 80%8/10 | 70%14/20 | 50%50/100 | 59%23/39 | 44%27/61 | 0.61 |
| Coby Mayo bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/100 | 0%0/39 | 0%0/61 | 0.11 |
| Coby Mayo bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +141 / -185 | 39% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 23%23/100 | 31%12/39 | 18%11/61 | 1.06 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -155 / +121 | 57% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 63%288/457 | 63%72/114 | 63%216/343 | 0.9 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 13%59/457 | 13%15/114 | 13%44/343 | 0.14 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +171 / -227 | 35% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 38%172/457 | 39%44/114 | 37%128/343 | 1.51 |
| Gunnar Henderson bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +195 / -244 | 33% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 27%127/463 | 23%29/128 | 29%98/335 | 1.05 |
| Gunnar Henderson bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +5500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%2/463 | 0%0/128 | 1%2/335 | 0.18 |
| Gunnar Henderson bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +113 / -137 | 45% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 44%203/463 | 35%45/128 | 47%158/335 | 1.88 |
| Ian Happ bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -177 / +140 | 60% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 62%289/464 | 63%76/121 | 62%213/343 | 0.91 |
| Ian Happ bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +2500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 2%7/464 | 2%2/121 | 1%5/343 | 0.15 |
| Ian Happ bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +130 / -162 | 41% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 38%174/464 | 31%37/121 | 40%137/343 | 1.61 |
| Jackson Holliday bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -155 / +125 | 58% | 30%3/10 | 60%12/20 | 60%123/205 | 57%26/46 | 61%97/159 | 0.87 |
| Jackson Holliday bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 10%21/205 | 7%3/46 | 11%18/159 | 0.11 |
| Jackson Holliday bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +186 / -250 | 33% | 10%1/10 | 30%6/20 | 31%64/205 | 28%13/46 | 32%51/159 | 1.36 |
| Leody Taveras bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -187 / +145 | 61% | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 56%201/360 | 62%52/84 | 54%149/276 | 0.81 |
| Leody Taveras bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%29/360 | 4%3/84 | 9%26/276 | 0.08 |
| Leody Taveras bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +178 / -238 | 34% | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 32%114/360 | 30%25/84 | 32%89/276 | 1.26 |
| Michael Busch bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -227 / +173 | 66% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 56%186/333 | 49%21/43 | 57%165/290 | 0.84 |
| Michael Busch bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 1%3/333 | 0%0/43 | 1%3/290 | 0.18 |
| Michael Busch bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +117 / -150 | 44% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 36%119/333 | 26%11/43 | 37%108/290 | 1.6 |
| Michael Conforto bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -138 / +118 | 56% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 50%195/387 | 60%41/68 | 48%154/319 | 0.73 |
| Michael Conforto bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 12%47/387 | 16%11/68 | 11%36/319 | 0.12 |
| Michael Conforto bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -143 / +110 | 55% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 50%195/387 | 60%41/68 | 48%154/319 | 1.26 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -247 / +187 | 67% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 72%333/460 | 77%86/111 | 71%247/349 | 1.14 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 5%23/460 | 5%6/111 | 5%17/349 | 0.05 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +141 / -170 | 40% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 42%191/460 | 48%53/111 | 40%138/349 | 1.54 |
| Pete Alonso bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -200 / +151 | 63% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 62%299/479 | 62%84/136 | 63%215/343 | 0.94 |
| Pete Alonso bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +370 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 23%110/479 | 20%27/136 | 24%83/343 | 0.25 |
| Pete Alonso bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +128 / -165 | 41% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 44%212/479 | 40%54/136 | 46%158/343 | 1.91 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -226 / +177 | 66% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 68%286/423 | 65%73/112 | 68%213/311 | 1.04 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 2%7/423 | 0%0/112 | 2%7/311 | 0.18 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +130 / -150 | 43% | 80%8/10 | 60%12/20 | 44%188/423 | 40%45/112 | 46%143/311 | 1.87 |
| Taylor Ward bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -204 / +158 | 63% | 80%8/10 | 65%13/20 | 62%255/409 | 69%67/97 | 60%188/312 | 0.89 |
| Taylor Ward bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +6000 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 1%3/409 | 0%0/97 | 1%3/312 | 0.18 |
| Taylor Ward bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +139 / -170 | 40% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 41%169/409 | 42%41/97 | 41%128/312 | 1.65 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | O 5.5 | +102 / -130 | 47% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 49%22/45 | 5.4 |
| Matthew Boyd CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | O 4.5 | -160 / +120 | 58% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 58%35/60 | 4.9 |
The rest of the slate
14 more games of graded props · members onlyNYY @ TB
6:40 PM ET · Tropicana Field
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET · PNC Park
SEA @ MIA
6:40 PM ET · loanDepot park
ATH @ DET
6:40 PM ET · Comerica Park
HOU @ WSH
6:45 PM ET · Nationals Park
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET · Citi Field
PHI @ CIN
7:10 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET · Target Field
BOS @ CWS
7:40 PM ET · Rate Field
MIL @ STL
7:45 PM ET · Busch Stadium
LAA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET · Globe Life Field
AZ @ SD
9:40 PM ET · Petco Park
TOR @ SF
9:45 PM ET · Oracle Park
COL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
How to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.