Umpire tendencies
Per home-plate umpire since 2023: games worked, average combined runs, how often the game cleared the consensus total (OVER %, pushes set aside), and home win %. The OVER % is measured against the number the market itself set, so it reads as a lean above or below the league baseline. This is a real run-environment signal with the sample shown, not a pick.
Consensus total is the median 'totals' line at the last capture on or before first pitch. Over % is the share of decided games (pushes removed) that finished above that number, so it compares each umpire to the market's own expectation, not a flat over/under. Lean is average runs minus the average consensus total. A signal with its sample, never a guaranteed play.