Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -196 / +149 | 62% | 40%4/10 | 60%12/20 | 70%257/368 | 67%59/88 | 71%198/280 | 1.09 |
| Austin Riley bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 19%70/368 | 20%18/88 | 19%52/280 | 0.2 |
| Austin Riley bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +141 / -176 | 40% | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 47%174/368 | 41%36/88 | 49%138/280 | 1.94 |
| Drake Baldwin bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -276 / +202 | 69% | 90%9/10 | 70%14/20 | 62%75/121 | 69%11/16 | 61%64/105 | 0.92 |
| Drake Baldwin bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 1 | · / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%1/121 | 0%0/16 | 1%1/105 | 0.16 |
| Drake Baldwin bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +112 / -139 | 45% | 80%8/10 | 55%11/20 | 39%47/121 | 50%8/16 | 37%39/105 | 1.57 |
| Freddy Fermin bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -102 / -127 | 47% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 64%169/264 | 66%57/86 | 63%112/178 | 0.9 |
| Freddy Fermin bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%18/264 | 5%4/86 | 8%14/178 | 0.08 |
| Freddy Fermin bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | +109 / -141 | 45% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 64%169/264 | 66%57/86 | 63%112/178 | 1.28 |
| Jackson Merrill bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -164 / +133 | 59% | 80%8/10 | 75%15/20 | 66%181/275 | 62%51/82 | 67%130/193 | 1.04 |
| Jackson Merrill bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 1 | · / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%3/275 | 2%2/82 | 1%1/193 | 0.15 |
| Jackson Merrill bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +199 / -270 | 32% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 44%121/275 | 40%33/82 | 46%88/193 | 1.8 |
| Jake Cronenworth bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -119 / -109 | 51% | 30%3/10 | 50%10/20 | 61%257/420 | 54%68/126 | 64%189/294 | 0.82 |
| Jake Cronenworth bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 9%37/420 | 4%5/126 | 11%32/294 | 0.09 |
| Luis Rengifo bats S · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -175 / +142 | 61% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 61%210/343 | 58%43/74 | 62%167/269 | 0.9 |
| Luis Rengifo bats S · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%28/343 | 11%8/74 | 7%20/269 | 0.09 |
| Luis Rengifo bats S · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +175 / -227 | 35% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 32%111/343 | 36%27/74 | 31%84/269 | 1.34 |
| Manny Machado bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -167 / +128 | 59% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 67%305/453 | 69%87/126 | 67%218/327 | 1.05 |
| Manny Machado bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 1 | · / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 2%10/453 | 1%1/126 | 3%9/327 | 0.19 |
| Manny Machado bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +152 / -200 | 38% | 20%2/10 | 30%6/20 | 43%193/453 | 48%60/126 | 41%133/327 | 1.82 |
| Matt Olson bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -256 / +194 | 68% | 50%5/10 | 65%13/20 | 69%330/480 | 68%84/124 | 69%246/356 | 1.03 |
| Matt Olson bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 1 | · / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 3%12/480 | 1%1/124 | 3%11/356 | 0.23 |
| Matt Olson bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +113 / -130 | 47% | 40%4/10 | 50%10/20 | 43%205/480 | 48%59/124 | 41%146/356 | 1.98 |
| Mauricio Dubon bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -200 / +170 | 64% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 64%242/380 | 61%76/124 | 65%166/256 | 0.89 |
| Mauricio Dubon bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 1 | · / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/380 | 1%1/124 | 0%1/256 | 0.06 |
| Mauricio Dubon bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +164 / -200 | 37% | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 31%118/380 | 31%38/124 | 31%80/256 | 1.26 |
| Michael Harris II bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +182 / -234 | 34% | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 26%106/403 | 21%23/108 | 28%83/295 | 1.04 |
| Michael Harris II bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 1 | · / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 1%6/403 | 3%3/108 | 1%3/295 | 0.14 |
| Michael Harris II bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | -102 / -124 | 48% | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 38%152/403 | 35%38/108 | 39%114/295 | 1.7 |
| Mike Yastrzemski bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -151 / +116 | 56% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 53%202/381 | 48%32/67 | 54%170/314 | 0.75 |
| Mike Yastrzemski bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 13%48/381 | 7%5/67 | 14%43/314 | 0.13 |
| Mike Yastrzemski bats L · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +182 / -244 | 34% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 35%133/381 | 30%20/67 | 36%113/314 | 1.38 |
| Ozzie Albies bats S · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +194 | 68% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 69%276/399 | 76%78/103 | 67%198/296 | 1.05 |
| Ozzie Albies bats S · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 1 | · / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%4/399 | 1%1/103 | 1%3/296 | 0.15 |
| Ozzie Albies bats S · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +132 / -164 | 42% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 41%165/399 | 45%46/103 | 40%119/296 | 1.73 |
| Ty France bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -162 / +125 | 58% | 20%2/10 | 40%8/20 | 57%248/433 | 53%67/127 | 59%181/306 | 0.86 |
| Ty France bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 1 | · / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%1/433 | 1%1/127 | 0%0/306 | 0.07 |
| Ty France bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +178 / -238 | 35% | 0%0/10 | 20%4/20 | 34%147/433 | 34%43/127 | 34%104/306 | 1.27 |
| Xander Bogaerts bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -151 / +117 | 57% | 90%9/10 | 70%14/20 | 69%280/407 | 69%84/121 | 69%196/286 | 1.02 |
| Xander Bogaerts bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | · / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/407 | 0%0/121 | 0%0/286 | 0.1 |
| Xander Bogaerts bats R · SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +180 / -233 | 34% | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 40%164/407 | 39%47/121 | 41%117/286 | 1.54 |
| Brayan Rocchio bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -187 / +143 | 61% | 60%6/10 | 45%9/20 | 53%144/271 | 46%39/84 | 56%105/187 | 0.71 |
| Brayan Rocchio bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 10%2/20 | 6%15/271 | 7%6/84 | 5%9/187 | 0.06 |
| Brayan Rocchio bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1 | · / · | · | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 28%75/271 | 24%20/84 | 29%55/187 | 1.05 |
| Brooks Lee bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -157 / +126 | 58% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 58%108/185 | 56%35/63 | 60%73/122 | 0.83 |
| Brooks Lee bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 10%18/185 | 8%5/63 | 11%13/122 | 0.1 |
| Brooks Lee bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1 | · / · | · | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 31%57/185 | 21%13/63 | 36%44/122 | 1.27 |
| Byron Buxton bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -191 / +154 | 62% | 70%7/10 | 75%15/20 | 63%190/303 | 60%49/82 | 64%141/221 | 0.96 |
| Byron Buxton bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +305 / · | · | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 20%61/303 | 16%13/82 | 22%48/221 | 0.23 |
| Byron Buxton bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +130 / -162 | 41% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 45%136/303 | 35%29/82 | 48%107/221 | 1.94 |
| Jose Ramirez bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -194 / +156 | 63% | 80%8/10 | 70%14/20 | 72%340/472 | 72%99/138 | 72%241/334 | 1.11 |
| Jose Ramirez bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 2%8/472 | 2%3/138 | 1%5/334 | 0.2 |
| Jose Ramirez bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +130 / -161 | 41% | 30%3/10 | 40%8/20 | 47%224/472 | 47%65/138 | 48%159/334 | 1.99 |
| Josh Bell bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -159 / +123 | 58% | 80%8/10 | 70%14/20 | 63%270/429 | 65%74/114 | 62%196/315 | 0.9 |
| Josh Bell bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 14%59/429 | 12%14/114 | 14%45/315 | 0.15 |
| Josh Bell bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1 | · / · | · | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 35%150/429 | 39%44/114 | 34%106/315 | 1.51 |
| Kody Clemens bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -185 / +142 | 61% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 48%98/204 | 56%15/27 | 47%83/177 | 0.65 |
| Kody Clemens bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +350 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 15%3/20 | 13%26/204 | 15%4/27 | 12%22/177 | 0.14 |
| Kody Clemens bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +132 / -170 | 41% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 29%60/204 | 30%8/27 | 29%52/177 | 1.25 |
| Kyle Manzardo bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -122 / -106 | 51% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 58%117/203 | 56%14/25 | 58%103/178 | 0.74 |
| Kyle Manzardo bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%3/203 | 0%0/25 | 2%3/178 | 0.16 |
| Kyle Manzardo bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -123 / -105 | 52% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 58%117/203 | 56%14/25 | 58%103/178 | 1.41 |
| Luke Keaschall bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -157 / +124 | 58% | 90%9/10 | 85%17/20 | 83%40/48 | 80%12/15 | 85%28/33 | 1.15 |
| Luke Keaschall bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 8%4/48 | 7%1/15 | 9%3/33 | 0.08 |
| Luke Keaschall bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -164 / +130 | 59% | 90%9/10 | 85%17/20 | 83%40/48 | 80%12/15 | 85%28/33 | 1.69 |
| Patrick Bailey bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -116 / -114 | 50% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 55%189/342 | 62%60/97 | 53%129/245 | 0.76 |
| Patrick Bailey bats S · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 15%3/20 | 6%21/342 | 6%6/97 | 6%15/245 | 0.06 |
| Rhys Hoskins bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -126 / -101 | 52% | 20%2/10 | 40%8/20 | 55%122/223 | 48%35/73 | 58%87/150 | 0.73 |
| Rhys Hoskins bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%1/223 | 1%1/73 | 0%0/150 | 0.17 |
| Rhys Hoskins bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1 | · / · | · | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 32%72/223 | 23%17/73 | 37%55/150 | 1.36 |
| Royce Lewis bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -135 / +110 | 55% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 63%156/246 | 63%48/76 | 64%108/170 | 0.93 |
| Royce Lewis bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 18%44/246 | 14%11/76 | 19%33/170 | 0.2 |
| Royce Lewis bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +174 / -233 | 34% | 60%6/10 | 45%9/20 | 40%99/246 | 39%30/76 | 41%69/170 | 1.68 |
| Ryan Jeffers bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -185 / +143 | 61% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 58%193/331 | 56%65/116 | 60%128/215 | 0.85 |
| Ryan Jeffers bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +5500 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 1%2/331 | 1%1/116 | 0%1/215 | 0.13 |
| Ryan Jeffers bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +146 / -176 | 40% | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 36%118/331 | 31%36/116 | 38%82/215 | 1.45 |
| Ryan Kreidler bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -105 / -123 | 48% | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 22%11/50 | 25%5/20 | 20%6/30 | 0.26 |
| Ryan Kreidler bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 2%1/50 | 0%0/20 | 3%1/30 | 0.02 |
| Ryan Kreidler bats R · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | +100 / -130 | 47% | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 22%11/50 | 25%5/20 | 20%6/30 | 0.32 |
| Steven Kwan bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -210 / +163 | 64% | 60%6/10 | 65%13/20 | 70%305/435 | 66%84/128 | 72%221/307 | 1.15 |
| Steven Kwan bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%29/435 | 5%7/128 | 7%22/307 | 0.07 |
| Steven Kwan bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +158 / -197 | 38% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 43%185/435 | 39%50/128 | 44%135/307 | 1.6 |
| Trevor Larnach bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -169 / +130 | 59% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 61%187/309 | 59%19/32 | 61%168/277 | 0.83 |
| Trevor Larnach bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 13%39/309 | 6%2/32 | 13%37/277 | 0.13 |
| Trevor Larnach bats L · MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +171 / -227 | 35% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 36%111/309 | 28%9/32 | 37%102/277 | 1.4 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | O 6.5 | -154 / +116 | 57% | 90%9/10 | 75%15/20 | 64%45/70 | 7.4 |
| Griffin Canning SD @ ATL · 12:15 PM ET | O 4.5 | +128 / -165 | 41% | 30%3/10 | 40%8/20 | 47%34/72 | 4.7 |
| Gavin Williams MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | O 6.5 | -119 / -110 | 51% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 29%19/65 | 5.3 |
| Taj Bradley MIN @ CLE · 1:10 PM ET | O 6.5 | +115 / -150 | 44% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 35%26/75 | 5.5 |
The rest of the slate
3 more games of graded props · members onlyHow to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.