Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Seigler bats S · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -196 / +151 | 63% | 30%3/10 | 40%8/20 | 39%12/31 | 50%1/2 | 38%11/29 | 0.39 |
| Anthony Seigler bats S · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +164 / -204 | 36% | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 3%1/31 | 0%0/2 | 3%1/29 | 0.42 |
| Caleb Durbin bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -217 / +172 | 65% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 58%82/141 | 51%21/41 | 61%61/100 | 0.87 |
| Caleb Durbin bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +152 / -182 | 38% | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 36%51/141 | 34%14/41 | 37%37/100 | 1.3 |
| Carlos Narvaez bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -127 / -101 | 53% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 57%72/126 | 51%26/51 | 61%46/75 | 0.79 |
| Carlos Narvaez bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -123 / -105 | 52% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 57%72/126 | 51%26/51 | 61%46/75 | 1.37 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -250 / +190 | 67% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 60%197/326 | 58%54/93 | 61%143/233 | 0.89 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +141 / -165 | 40% | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 36%116/326 | 38%35/93 | 35%81/233 | 1.44 |
| Coby Mayo bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -154 / +120 | 57% | 80%8/10 | 70%14/20 | 50%50/100 | 59%23/39 | 44%27/61 | 0.61 |
| Coby Mayo bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +4000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/100 | 0%0/39 | 0%0/61 | 0.11 |
| Coby Mayo bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +141 / -185 | 39% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 23%23/100 | 31%12/39 | 18%11/61 | 1.06 |
| Gunnar Henderson bats L · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -200 / +152 | 63% | 80%8/10 | 70%14/20 | 67%311/463 | 68%87/128 | 67%224/335 | 1.05 |
| Gunnar Henderson bats L · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +136 / -179 | 40% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 44%203/463 | 35%45/128 | 47%158/335 | 1.88 |
| Jarren Duran bats L · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -185 / +153 | 62% | 60%6/10 | 70%14/20 | 71%294/414 | 68%65/96 | 72%229/318 | 1.08 |
| Jarren Duran bats L · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +136 / -179 | 40% | 20%2/10 | 45%9/20 | 46%192/414 | 44%42/96 | 47%150/318 | 1.85 |
| Jeremiah Jackson bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -204 / +154 | 63% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 69%33/48 | 53%8/15 | 76%25/33 | 0.98 |
| Jeremiah Jackson bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +158 / -208 | 36% | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 40%19/48 | 33%5/15 | 42%14/33 | 1.58 |
| Leody Taveras bats S · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -154 / +121 | 57% | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 56%201/360 | 62%52/84 | 54%149/276 | 0.81 |
| Leody Taveras bats S · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +204 / -278 | 31% | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 32%114/360 | 30%25/84 | 32%89/276 | 1.26 |
| Masataka Yoshida bats L · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -219 / +168 | 65% | 90%9/10 | 70%14/20 | 64%194/304 | 69%37/54 | 63%157/250 | 1.04 |
| Masataka Yoshida bats L · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +155 / -196 | 37% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 42%128/304 | 37%20/54 | 43%108/250 | 1.56 |
| Pete Alonso bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -213 / +162 | 64% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 62%299/479 | 62%84/136 | 63%215/343 | 0.94 |
| Pete Alonso bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +123 / -159 | 42% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 44%212/479 | 40%54/136 | 46%158/343 | 1.91 |
| Sam Huff bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | +100 / -125 | · | 60%6/10 | 45%9/20 | 43%17/40 | 47%9/19 | 38%8/21 | 0.55 |
| Taylor Ward bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -196 / +150 | 63% | 80%8/10 | 65%13/20 | 62%255/409 | 69%67/97 | 60%188/312 | 0.89 |
| Taylor Ward bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +158 / -199 | 37% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 41%169/409 | 42%41/97 | 41%128/312 | 1.65 |
| Willson Contreras bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -201 / +154 | 63% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 65%215/331 | 67%62/92 | 64%153/239 | 0.96 |
| Willson Contreras bats R · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +138 / -179 | 40% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 41%135/331 | 42%39/92 | 40%96/239 | 1.69 |
| Wilyer Abreu bats L · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -227 / +172 | 65% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 51%137/268 | 54%13/24 | 51%124/244 | 0.81 |
| Wilyer Abreu bats L · BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +107 / -133 | 46% | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 35%94/268 | 21%5/24 | 36%89/244 | 1.47 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | O 5.5 | +126 / -163 | 42% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 38%33/88 | 4.8 |
| Kyle Bradish BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | O 5.5 | +105 / -140 | 46% | 80%8/10 | 65%13/20 | 56%25/45 | 6.2 |
| Ranger Suarez BAL @ BOS · 1:35 PM ET | O 5.5 | -117 / -111 | 51% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 47%38/81 | 5.5 |
The rest of the slate
15 more games of graded props · members onlyHow to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.